anonymous
  • anonymous
This is about Bayesian stat vs. Classical stat, or the need/importance of prior knowledge. Imagine that on a planet there are 4 individuals. it is 2 AM where they are and it is very dark. The 1st is 4 billion years old. He has observed hundreds of billion sunrises. The 2nd was born two nights ago an he has observed one sunrise The 3rd got just born at 1 AM The 4th is an alien who finished setting up the last explosive that will destroy the planet in 10 min. He has destroyed over 5000 planets. What do you think is the appropriate probability that each one should assign for a sunrise at
Mathematics
  • Stacey Warren - Expert brainly.com
Hey! We 've verified this expert answer for you, click below to unlock the details :)
SOLVED
At vero eos et accusamus et iusto odio dignissimos ducimus qui blanditiis praesentium voluptatum deleniti atque corrupti quos dolores et quas molestias excepturi sint occaecati cupiditate non provident, similique sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollitia animi, id est laborum et dolorum fuga. Et harum quidem rerum facilis est et expedita distinctio. Nam libero tempore, cum soluta nobis est eligendi optio cumque nihil impedit quo minus id quod maxime placeat facere possimus, omnis voluptas assumenda est, omnis dolor repellendus. Itaque earum rerum hic tenetur a sapiente delectus, ut aut reiciendis voluptatibus maiores alias consequatur aut perferendis doloribus asperiores repellat.
jamiebookeater
  • jamiebookeater
I got my questions answered at brainly.com in under 10 minutes. Go to brainly.com now for free help!
anonymous
  • anonymous
at 6 AM? (but the actual time of sunrise is not important. It will be hours from now)
anonymous
  • anonymous
BTW this is not a test Q I made it up. I am trying to understand the Bayesian statistics.
anonymous
  • anonymous
I guess the point is that the probability depends on knowledge. If the first three individuals had the knowledge of the 4th then they all will agree on the same probability. Or if the 2nd and the 3td had the knowledge of the 1st then then the 1,2, and 3 will agree on a probability based on 4 bill years of observation. etc... Bayesian stat says that the probability is subjective.

Looking for something else?

Not the answer you are looking for? Search for more explanations.

More answers

anonymous
  • anonymous
If it helps. Here is the image of the 4th one.
anonymous
  • anonymous
1 Attachment

Looking for something else?

Not the answer you are looking for? Search for more explanations.