Hi;
There are 4 bins. I throw balls at them until there are 3 balls in one of the bins. Then I stop. The probability of hitting a bin are all the same, 1 / 4. What is the expected number of throws?

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prob of hitting one bin is 1/4, times how many bins = 1/16 times three = 1/48...

Oh my goodness, you're right!

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