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Kazraka Group Title

A plane is missing and is presumed to have equal probabilityof going down in any of three regions. If a plane is actually downin region i, let 1-αi denote the probability thatthe plane will be found upon search of the ith region, i=1,2,3.What is the conditional probability that the plane is in a) region 1, given that the search of region 1 wasunsuccessful b) region 2, given that the search of region 1 wasunsuccessful c) region 3, given that the search of region 2 wasunsuccessful

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