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His first letter can be sent to A (0.5) or B (0.5). Do we consider that too at the beginning of tree diagram
I don't quite understand what is meant by ' If a newspaper publishes one of his letters he will send next one to same newspaper if not tries the other one next time'
it will take me a few minutes to make sense of it.
can u check my tree diagram plz ill draw it now
ok. AP means A published and AP' means A does not publish if A is published, then you send the next letter (letter #2) to A if AP' then you send letter #2 to B
it is a confusing tree because we have to keep track of where we send the next letter, and whether it was published.
if AP then next letter gets sent to A . is the prob for that 1?
I am tempted to write it this way |dw:1438893877024:dw|
great, then i will add up all the possibilities of when the 3rd letter was sent to A
you have to extend this to the 4th letter, so the tree will get quite large.