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Pulsified333
 one year ago
Your favorite team is in the World Series. You have assigned a probability of 64% that they will win the championship. Past records indicate that when teams win the championship, they win the first game of the series 67% of the time. When they lose the championship, they win the first game 23% of the time. The first game is over and your team has lost. What is the probability that they will win the World Series?
Probability =
Pulsified333
 one year ago
Your favorite team is in the World Series. You have assigned a probability of 64% that they will win the championship. Past records indicate that when teams win the championship, they win the first game of the series 67% of the time. When they lose the championship, they win the first game 23% of the time. The first game is over and your team has lost. What is the probability that they will win the World Series? Probability =

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Pulsified333
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0@dan815 @satellite73

anonymous
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0another bayes' to make my head spin

anonymous
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0the probability they win the world series and lose the first game is \[.64\times .33\] if i am not mistaken

anonymous
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0that is the probability that they win the world series times the probability that they lose the first game given they have one the world series

anonymous
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0that is your numerator

anonymous
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0the denominator is the probability (percent of the times ) that they lose the first game if the win the world series and lose the first game, that gives the same number above if they lose the first gave and lose the world series, that is \(.36\times .23\)

anonymous
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0it is \[.36\times .77\]

Pulsified333
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0@dan815 Please help me

NotTim
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0Maybe ask a new question. you closed this.

Pulsified333
 one year ago
Best ResponseYou've already chosen the best response.0@NotTim do you know how to solve this?
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