Your favorite team is in the World Series. You have assigned a probability of 64% that they will win the championship. Past records indicate that when teams win the championship, they win the first game of the series 67% of the time. When they lose the championship, they win the first game 23% of the time. The first game is over and your team has lost. What is the probability that they will win the World Series? Probability =

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Your favorite team is in the World Series. You have assigned a probability of 64% that they will win the championship. Past records indicate that when teams win the championship, they win the first game of the series 67% of the time. When they lose the championship, they win the first game 23% of the time. The first game is over and your team has lost. What is the probability that they will win the World Series? Probability =

Mathematics
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At vero eos et accusamus et iusto odio dignissimos ducimus qui blanditiis praesentium voluptatum deleniti atque corrupti quos dolores et quas molestias excepturi sint occaecati cupiditate non provident, similique sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollitia animi, id est laborum et dolorum fuga. Et harum quidem rerum facilis est et expedita distinctio. Nam libero tempore, cum soluta nobis est eligendi optio cumque nihil impedit quo minus id quod maxime placeat facere possimus, omnis voluptas assumenda est, omnis dolor repellendus. Itaque earum rerum hic tenetur a sapiente delectus, ut aut reiciendis voluptatibus maiores alias consequatur aut perferendis doloribus asperiores repellat.

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another bayes' to make my head spin
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Other answers:

the probability they win the world series and lose the first game is \[.64\times .33\] if i am not mistaken
that is the probability that they win the world series times the probability that they lose the first game given they have one the world series
that is your numerator
the denominator is the probability (percent of the times ) that they lose the first game if the win the world series and lose the first game, that gives the same number above if they lose the first gave and lose the world series, that is \(.36\times .23\)
oh no it isn't
it is \[.36\times .77\]
how?
@dan815 Please help me
Maybe ask a new question. you closed this.
@NotTim do you know how to solve this?

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